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We thought the Fed would shake up crypto last week, bros. Turns out, Binance stole the spotlight.

Now, geopolitical tensions are adding more uncertainty. The U.S. reportedly struck Iran's Qeshm Island near the Strait of Hormuz, even as Washington signals hope for a diplomatic deal. Are the bears preparing another flush?

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$3.46 TRILLION was reportedly wiped out from AI stocks in October. Yep, trillion with a T! 🥶

If even Wall Street's hottest AI stocks can get smoked like that, imagine how quickly things can turn ugly in crypto, fam.

So, how do you spot promising coins before the hype hits, identify potential breakouts, and avoid buying straight into a bull trap?

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On November 3, Binance began its second wave of withdrawals across nine blockchain networks, following the record-breaking $6.3B hack.

And there's some good news: DeFiLlama now shows $1.822B in 24-hour net inflows, a sharp reversal from the earlier $7B daily net outflow peak.

1/ Withdrawals return. Binance covers 95% of losses.

Starting November 3, Binance began restoring additional withdrawals across BNB Chain, ETH, $SOL ( ▼ 1.26% ), XRP Ledger, $SUI ( ▼ 0.29% ), Arbitrum, Optimism, Tron, and Base.

Assets are being enabled gradually after security checks, while deposits remain operational.

Here's where recovery stands:

Binance says customers won't bear the losses. That's a pretty big commitment, fam.

2/ Billions are still leaving Binance

According to DeFiLlama, Binance recorded $11.83B in seven-day net outflows.

However, its latest 24-hour reading had dropped to approximately $1.822B, reversing an earlier daily net outflow peak of nearly $7B.

These onchain figures are snapshots and may include internal wallet movements, so they shouldn't all be treated as customer withdrawals.

Meanwhile, blockchain analytics firm Elliptic reported that $2.85B in stolen assets had been frozen or seized, roughly 44% of the hack's value.

That's encouraging, although frozen funds haven't necessarily been returned to Binance.

🧠 Reserves are back. What about trust?

I think Binance deserves some credit for moving quickly to cover the losses, bros. But restoring reserves and restoring trust are two different challenges.

If outflows keep slowing while deposits recover, that's encouraging. But I'd still watch the remaining 5%, withdrawal reliability, and Binance's final security investigation.

After a hack this massive, confidence has to be earned back.

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Just when markets were getting excited about a possible U.S.-Iran peace deal, another military strike landed, bros.

On November 2, U.S. forces reportedly struck Iran's Qeshm Island, near the critical Strait of Hormuz, just one day before America's midterm elections.

U.S. officials called the operation limited and defensive, but the timing has traders wondering: Is another major escalation coming?

1/ A small strike with potentially BIG consequences

According to U.S. officials, the strikes responded to Iranian forces firing at American aircraft and were intended to protect U.S. military assets.

But here's where things get interesting:

Washington insists these operations don't signal a return to full-scale combat.

Still, fam, the situation could get messy fast if either side escalates.

2/ Oil jumps while peace talks continue

Brent crude rose 1.48% to $106.32, while U.S. WTI climbed 1.6% to $98.06 following the strike reports.

And here's the twist: Oil had dumped more than 7% on Monday as traders grew optimistic about a possible peace agreement.

Diplomacy isn't dead yet, either.

Qatar is still mediating negotiations, while Vice President JD Vance says Washington remains optimistic about reaching a deal.

Trump, meanwhile, has kept both military and diplomatic options open.

🧠 Oil could become crypto's next headache

Higher energy costs could keep inflation stubbornly elevated, making it harder for the Fed to cut rates. And when inflation fears rise, $BTC and altcoins could face more selling pressure as investors pull back from riskier assets.

But there's a bullish counterpoint: If negotiations succeed, oil's risk premium could shrink, potentially giving risk assets some breathing room.

I'm watching 2 things closely: Oil holding above $105 and whether U.S.-Iran negotiations make real progress.

With Bitcoin already struggling below $80K, the last thing bulls need is another macro shock. Stay sharp, fam. This week could get wild…

Kim Jong-un's sister denies FBI claims linking North Korea to Binance's $6.3B hack, calling the accusation a political provocation. Read more

Hackers targeted supermarket freezers across 7 European countries, with temperatures hitting 50°C, while fake nuclear alerts rocked Russia and Ukraine. Read more

Binance sees $14.1B in net outflows over 7 days, including $3.5B in 24 hours, while rival OKX attracts $499M. Read more

Ahead of its $ANT ( 0.0% ) Nasdaq IPO, Anthropic posted $17B in Q3 revenue (up 12x YoY) alongside a $23.3B net loss. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.