👦 Bart Simpson Just Rugged Bitcoin

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Every time the Bank of Japan (BOJ) hikes rates, Bitcoin takes a hit. Let’s look at the past 3 BOJ rate hikes and what happened to $BTC right after:

• March 2024: BOJ raises rates → $BTC ( ▼ 0.73% ) drops -23%

• July 2024: BOJ raises rates → $BTC drops -26%

• January 2025: BOJ raises rates → $BTC drops -31%

That’s 3 straight times with the same outcome. If this pattern holds and Bitcoin drops ~20% again, that would bring us down to around $72K 🥶

Here’s what we got for you today:

• 👀 Crypto miners are becoming AI power giants

• ⭐ Bart Simpson is back on the Bitcoin chart

• ⭐ Why Q1 2026 might be the biggest bull run

• 🔥 Burning hot takes for the road

🔌 From Hashrate to Hyperscale: Why Bitcoin Miners Are Becoming AI Power Giants

If you’ve been watching the markets since April, you’ve likely noticed that Bitcoin miners are posting mid-to-high triple-digit returns, outperforming almost every other sector.

But do you know that while BTC trades near $90K, the "average" cost to mine a coin for some can hit $99K.

Many miners are running on razor-thin margins, or worse, negative free cash flow. They need a lifeline, and they found one in the biggest tech trend of the decade. What is it?

📉 BART SIMPSON IS BACK ON OUR BITCOIN CHART

Bitcoin just dropped below the critical $90,000 support over the weekend, and something familiar has returned to the charts… yep, it’s the Bart Simpson pattern.

Multiple Bart Simpson patterns have been printed on Bitcoins chart recently (see below)

If you’ve been around for a while, you know this isn’t good news for short-term traders.

So what is the Bart pattern?

It’s named after Bart’s spiky hair, the price shoots up or down fast, then moves sideways, then returns to the original level just as quickly. It looks cartoonish but messes with real money.

In just the past few weeks, traders have spotted it forming again, some even say it’s happened 5 times between late Nov and mid-Dec alone.

On Dec 10-12, 3 instances were noted back-to-back. Now it looks like another one is forming, and many believe we could see another sharp move soon.

But the big question is: Will it break up or fake out again?

Some key voices in the market we found also weighed in that:

• Bart patterns trap short-term traders with sudden reversals

• For long-term holders, they usually just ignore the noise

Analyst Paweł Łaskarzewski warned:

"Bart + weekend order books = stoploss massacre. Sunday/Monday isn’t prediction time, it’s liquidity time." And that’s the key word here: liquidity.

Many analysts agree that Bart patterns are not random. They show up often when:

• Liquidity is low

• Big players push the price to trigger stop losses

• Retail traders get sucked in, only to get wrecked a few candles later

It’s frustrating. You see the price pump, CT screams targets, confidence is back… then boom, we’re right back where we started.

Some people still call it “natural price formation.” It looks like someone drew the chart with a ruler. Either way: Bart rarely fails to trap people.

So what does this tell us?

For me, it’s a clear reminder: this market is built on structure and liquidity, not just memes or emotions.

Yes, the Bart pattern can signal a breakout, but more often, it’s a setup for short-term traps, not long-term trends.

I think whales are just having fun with low December volume. They know where the stop losses are. And they’re not shy about triggering both sides.

If you’re in for the long run, zoom out and keep your cool. But if you’re trying to catch short-term swings… be careful. Be sharp. Don’t get Bart’d.

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🟢 5 REASONS WHY Q1 2026 MIGHT BE THE BULL RUN

There's a lot of quiet chatter right now that crypto could be gearing up for something big early next year. And this time, the macro setup is actually starting to look really good.

Our analysts are also eyeing Q1 2026 as a possible launchpad. If all 5 key trends below play out together, we could be looking at a scenario where BTC pushes toward $300K.

1/ The Fed just Paused QT → a Major Liquidity Unlock

After spending all of 2025 pulling money out of the system through Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed has finally hit pause.

Historically, when the Fed stops shrinking its balance sheet, BTC has jumped up to 40%. Early 2026 is when we’ll start feeling the tailwind from this shift.

2/ Interest Rate Cuts are Back

The Fed has already made a recent rate cut, and Goldman Sachs forecasts that more cuts are coming in 2026. We’re looking at rates potentially dropping to 3–3.25%.

Lower interest rates usually mean more liquidity, and that’s when money starts flowing into risk-on assets like crypto.

3/ Short-term Liquidity is Improving Fast

This one's a bit more technical, but important: the Fed has started buying short-term Treasury bills (T-bills) to smooth out imbalances in money markets.

Even though it’s not full-on QE, it still pumps short-term cash into the system, and that helps risk assets. Some signs pointing to liquidity pressure lately:

• Money market funds are hoarding cash

• Treasury issuance mix is shifting

• Seasonal demand for liquidity is rising

To avoid any spikes in short-term rates, the New York Fed is now running regular T-bill purchase ops, and while this is framed as “technical,” it brings more liquidity either way.

4/ Political Stability is Now a Priority

With the US midterms coming in Nov 2026, policymakers will do everything they can to avoid a market crash.

Analysts expect a smoother ride in stocks and crypto, as no one in power wants to be blamed for chaos right before the votes.

5. Bad Job Data = More Support from the Fed

Weird but true: weak labor reports usually push the Fed toward easier policy.

If hiring slows or layoffs increase, we could see even more liquidity support, which is great for crypto sentiment.

Alice Liu (Head of Research at CoinMarketCap) is already looking ahead & expecting February and March 2026 to be breakout months.

For now, though, the market’s still in accumulation mode. Bitcoin open interest is low. Traders are cautious. The big move hasn’t started yet.

It might not explode on Jan 1, but Q1 could be the moment everything clicks! We’ll see if this prediction is right or not.

The best time to forecast? Now.

Q4 is the perfect window to turn this year’s numbers into a clear, actionable forecast aligned with your goals. Set your business up for a stronger 2026 with BELAY’s new guide.

🔥 BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD

$JUV ( ▼ 14.39% ) just pumped 50% after Tether offered to buy Juventus. They promised €1B, but the owners instantly rejected it. Read more

Binance faces criticism for freezing only 17% of funds linked to the Upbit hack (with a 15-hour delay.) Read more

Movement Labs' drama-ridden ex-founder just launched a $100M fund, supporting token launches with capital. Read more

Pakistan partnered with Binance ($BNB ( ▼ 0.81% ) ) to tokenize $2B in state assets. With CZ advising, is mass adoption finally happening there? Read more

Vanguard's still cold on Bitcoin, even after quietly “greenlighting” crypto ETFs. He compared BTC to a “digital Labubu”... Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.