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Gm fam. The bears decided to paint the town red today... literally. 🩸 $BTC ( ▼ 4.85% ) has slipped to 66k, dragging $ETH ( ▼ 4.8% ) (<$2k) and $SOL ( ▼ 5.98% ) (<$80) into the discount bin. Did you manage to sniper the dip? 🎯

While prices hurt, the "Yield War" in DC is thawing. Banks & Crypto are inching toward a compromise to pass the CLARITY Act by March 1. Policy clarity might just be the reversal trigger we need. 🚀

Here’s what we got for you today:

For years, the strategy was simple. Buy the dip on Big Tech, ignore the "unsexy" industrial stocks, and watch the charts go up and to the right. 📈

But lately, the engine is sputtering. While the tech giants - the titans we all rely on - are suddenly the awkward guests standing in the corner, the "boring" parts of the market are having a massive breakout. Also, it turns out you can’t code your way out of a power shortage. We reveal the "unsexy" sectors that now hold the keys to the AI kingdom.

💡 Our secret: There is a historic split happening between the standard S&P 500 and the "Equal Weight" index. One is stuck in the mud; the other is racing like a sports car. Do you know which one you own? 👇

Fam… the market just did a hard reset.

$BTC slipped under $67K, tagging ~$66.8K, while $ETH lost $2K, and majors like $XRP ( ▼ 4.96% ) and $BNB ( ▼ 6.87% ) dropped 4%+. In just a few days, over $2.7B in leveraged positions got liquidated, effectively erasing most of the post-election “Trump pump.” From the $126K top in October, Bitcoin is now down roughly 50% in four months — the sharpest drawdown since 2022.

We are back to square one… So why is the whole town painted red right now? 🥵

1/ The "Warsh" effect & Macro fear

The nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair is being read as a major "hawkish" signal. Wall Street interprets this as an era of tighter liquidity and fewer rate cuts.

Remember: Crypto is a liquidity sponge. When the Fed threatens to turn off the tap, risk assets like BTC are the first to get dehydrated.

2/ Leverage traders lost $2.7 billion in a wipeout

Over $2.7B in leveraged positions got liquidated in just days.

Two months of sideways chop built up crowded longs. That leverage finally got punished.

This was a classic deleveraging cascade — funding flipped, positions got flushed, weak hands got forced out.

Painful? Yes.
Necessary? Also yes.

3/ AI is stealing our liquidity

Crypto isn't just fighting the Fed; it's fighting NVIDIA and Microsoft. The global capital flow is heavily concentrated in the AI narrative right now. When Big Tech dominates the room, alternative assets like crypto lose liquidity.

We are seeing a capital rotation, and right now, we aren't the pretty girl at the dance…

4/ Selling pressure comes from home

The data points to U.S. flows:

• Coinbase Premium flipped negative → U.S. investors selling
• ~$6.2B ETF net outflows since November
• ETF redemptions force spot $BTC ( ▼ 4.85% ) selling

That creates a feedback loop: Price drops → ETF redemptions → more spot selling → more pressure

Institutions are currently the bigger driver than retail.

🧠 What I think from this

Is it over? Not exactly. Look, nobody likes red candles, but Vincent Liu from Kronos Research makes a solid point: The froth is gone. Funding rates have reset. The "easy long" leverage has been wiped out. This brings the market back to reality.

However, don't expect a V-shaped recovery immediately. Spot volume is still thin. For this to turn around, we need to see organic spot buying (real demand), not just degenerate gambling. Watch the $60k-$65k level — that is the line in the sand. Until the Coinbase Premium flips green, sit on your hands and stay liquid.

This isn’t a funeral, yet. Stay safe out there.

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If you were looking for Robinhood to save the crypto charts this week, I’ve got some "good news, bad news" for you.

$HOOD ( ▼ 12.03% ) just dropped its Q4 earnings, and the stock took an 8% nosedive after hours. Why? Because while they hit a record $1.28 billion in revenue, they still missed Wall Street’s lofty expectations. The real shocker, though, wasn't the miss — it was the fact that for the first time, Prediction Markets (betting on real-world events) completely stole the spotlight from our beloved crypto. This is what went down in the "hood":

1/ The "Crypto Winter" slowed down growth

Let’s be real, crypto trading was a bit of a snooze fest for Robinhood last quarter. Their crypto revenue fell 38% year-over-year to $221 million.

With Bitcoin mired in a "reset" and volatility cooling off, retail traders just weren't hitting the "buy" button as often. This was the main anchor that dragged down the top-line revenue miss.

2/ Prediction markets are entering a "Super Cycle."

While crypto was chilling, Prediction Markets were on absolute fire. During the earnings call, analysts asked more questions about event contracts than crypto!

3/ AI is the secret sauce

While we’re out here trading, Robinhood’s "Cortex" AI is quietly running the business. They revealed that 75% of support cases are now solved by AI, even the complex ones. This saved them over $100 million last year. They are essentially turning the brokerage into a high-margin tech company, which is why 80% of analysts are still screaming "BUY" despite the 8% drop.

So…….

Is Crypto boring now? Not a chance. But we have to face facts: the "Financial SuperApp" is diversifying. Robinhood doesn't want to be just a crypto app anymore. They want to be the place where you bet on the Super Bowl, trade $SOL ( ▼ 5.98% ), and save for retirement all in one place.

The 8% drop feels like a classic "overreaction" to a revenue miss, but the underlying business is healthier than ever. If they can bridge the gap between prediction markets and on-chain liquidity, we might see $HOOD ( ▼ 12.03% ) become a major gateway for the next wave of "GambleFi."

Keep an eye on the March 1 regulatory deadline for the CLARITY Act. If the legal clouds clear, Robinhood's "Prediction Market" momentum could be the catalyst that finally brings the volume back to crypto.

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The "Robinhood Chain" testnet is officially live on Arbitrum, aiming to bring real-world assets into the "$HOOD ( ▼ 12.03% )." Read more

MrBeast just "bought" 7 million Gen Z users by acquiring the Step app. Is the YouTube king building a bank? Read more

Trump thinks Kevin Warsh can pump the U.S. economy to 15% growth. That’s a bold moonshot compared to the boring 2.4% reality. Read more

Vitalik wants $ETH ( ▼ 4.8% ) to be the brain of the AI future, letting AI agents handle the voting so humans can touch grass. Read more

Goldman dumped 39% of its $BTC ( ▼ 4.85% ) ETF bags to "make room" for a $152M bet on $XRP ( ▼ 4.96% ). Wall Street is rebalancing. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.