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Nine. Green. Candles. $BTC ( ▲ 0.06% ) just smashed through $75.5K, closing its ninth consecutive daily candle in the green. If you were short, my condolences - over $450M in bear positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours as the $75K liquidity zone got absolutely nuked. Even crazier? $ETH ( ▲ 2.04% ) is actually outperforming BTC right now. 🚀

Macro watch: Trump’s "Hormuz Alliance" is hitting friction. Germany, Japan, and Australia are hesitating, though the UK and France are still at the table. Trump even postponed his meeting with Xi to stay focused on Iran. With oil still sticky at $100, the volatility isn't over.

With this much momentum, is $80K BTC the next stop this week, or are we due for a breather? 🙄

Here’s what we got for you today:

You’ve probably heard the phrase "Not your keys, not your crypto" a thousand times - but do you actually know what it means for your money? If you’re keeping your assets on an exchange, you might be surprised to learn who actually owns them:

Bitcoin just ripped back to the $75K zone, and the move wasn’t quiet.

Over the past 24 hours, $609M got liquidated, with nearly $486M coming from shorts. That’s a classic squeeze - bears got too comfortable, and the market punished them hard.

At the same time:

So what’s actually driving this move?

1/ This rally isn’t random

There are 2 clear forces behind it: Short squeeze + real spot demand

On one side, you have leveraged traders getting wiped out. On the other, real money is stepping in:

That combination creates strong upward pressure.

2/ Macro is (temporarily) helping

Even with geopolitical tension still in play, markets are stabilizing:

That gives crypto room to breathe. But there’s still one big variable: 👉 Oil

With prices climbing back above $100, macro risk isn’t gone. It’s just… paused.

3/ The real question: squeeze or trend?

Squeeze-driven rallies can look strong, but they don’t always last. If fresh demand doesn’t keep coming, these moves usually fade within days or weeks. Right now, the key signal to watch is simple:

👉 Are ETF inflows and spot buyers still stepping in?

If yes → this could turn into a real trend

If not → this was just a liquidation-driven pump

🧠 This move feels different… but not fully confirmed yet.

You’ve got:

But also:

So we’re in that classic zone: Momentum is real. Sustainability is not guaranteed.
For now, enjoy the bear blood. If we hold $74K as support, $80K isn't just a meme - it’s the next logical target.

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We always talk about prediction markets being the "ultimate truth machine," but this week things took a dark, "Black Mirror" level turn. When there is $14 million on the line, some degens aren't just watching the news - they’re trying to write it.

1/ When news moves markets… literally

On March 10, Emanuel Fabian, a military reporter for The Times of Israel, reported that an Iranian missile landed in an open field near Beit Shemesh.

→ If Fabian’s report stood, the "No" bettors were about to get absolutely rekt.

2/ From bribes to death threats

Once the article hit, the "No" bettors went into full panic mode. Fabian started receiving dozens of messages across WhatsApp and social media with a single demand: Change the story.

One journalist from another outlet actually reached out to Fabian, offering him a "cut of the winnings" if he just tweaked the text to say the missile was intercepted.

When the bribe failed, things got ugly. A user named “Haim” sent terrifying messages in Hebrew, threatening to “finish” Fabian and mentioning specific details about his parents and where he lived.

3/ Polymarket steps in… but the damage is done

Polymarket later banned the accounts involved and said it would cooperate with authorities.

But the bigger issue is already clear: Prediction markets are no longer just “forecast tools.” They’re starting to influence behavior in the real world. In Washington, this is being used as a smoking gun for the “Death Bets Act.” Senators are now pushing hard to ban any prediction market tied to war, assassinations, or fatalities, calling them "incentives for chaos."

🧠 The incentives are warped

Look, I love prediction markets because they usually provide better signal than mainstream media. But we have to be real: when you create a multi-million dollar incentive to change a single sentence in a news report, you’re asking for trouble.

If degens start bullying journalists to save their positions, the "truth" these markets provide becomes corrupted. The IDF eventually confirmed the missile wasn't intercepted, proving Fabian was right. But the fact that a reporter had to file a police report over a Polymarket bet is a massive wake-up call for the industry. We need decentralized truth, but we can't let it be governed by the loudest bully with the biggest bag.

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Another country has banned Polymarket, labeling it an "unregulated betting platform" as global regulators move to restrict decentralized gambling. Read more

Michael Saylor stacked another $1.57B in $BTC ( ▲ 0.06% ) last week, further solidifying MicroStrategy ($MSTRX ( ▲ 1.23% ))’s position as the top corporate holder. Read more

South Korea fined Bithumb $24M and ordered a 6-month suspension for AML violations, adding pressure to one of Asia's biggest exchanges. Read more

Mastercard just processed a live pizza purchase using a crypto card, marking a major milestone for real-world blockchain utility. Read more

Messari is doubling down on AI integration while cutting staff, as the new CEO pivots to a leaner, machine-driven research model. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.