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The Fed held rates at 3.75%-4%, with Chair Kevin Warsh warning that inflation has stayed above the 2% target for nearly SIX years. He gave no clear signal for December, leaving another rate hike on the table.

Meanwhile, $BTC ( ▼ 1.55% ) slipped below $80K, as traders grew nervous about tighter monetary policy and another potential selloff.

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Here’s what we got for you today:

  • 👀 Top 5 coins ready to rally in 30 days

  • ⭐ Are we heading into a multi-year bear grind?

  • ⭐ Google tokens dump 12%

  • 🔥 Burning hot takes for the road

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📉 COULD BITCOIN CRASH LIKE SILVER? MAJOR WARNING SIGNS ARE FLASHING

Bitcoin bulls have a serious problem, fam. That September rally everyone thought was a comeback? It might have been one big bull trap.

$BTC ( ▼ 1.55% ) has now closed below $83K for two straight weeks, first at $82,042 and then at $80,154 on October 25.

Analyst Benjamin Cowen says this confirms a failed breakout. And his biggest fear? Bitcoin could follow silver's brutal 73% collapse after 2011. So, how bad could things get?

1/ $83K is gone. Is $72K next?

Cowen's next target is Bitcoin's bull market support band, formed by the 20-week and 21-week moving averages around $72K-$76K.

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Benjamin Cowen’s 11-step bearish BTC chart

If that support fails, the bears could take even more control.

Here's why he's comparing BTC to silver:

  • 2011: Silver peaked near $49 before entering a long downtrend.

  • 2012: Several recoveries convinced buyers the bottom was in.

  • 2015: Silver eventually fell toward $14, wiping out roughly 73% of its value.

Cowen worries Bitcoin could follow a similar path: temporary rallies, another possible test of $60K, and a deeper breakdown in 2027-2028. That's his bearish scenario, though, not a confirmed forecast.

2/ But the bears haven't won yet

Cowen's roadmap depends on several macro risks lining up, including stubborn inflation, rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar, and a potential Fed rate hike in December.

However, one key level could challenge his bearish thesis: a weekly BTC close back above $84K.

And there's an interesting bullish counterpoint.

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards noted that Bitcoin's put/call ratio hit 1.46 in his data, suggesting traders are heavily hedging against further losses.

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Similar spikes appeared near local bottoms in February and June 2026.

But remember, fam: Extreme fear can signal a bottom, yet it doesn't guarantee one.

🧠 My insight: Respect the macro, protect your capital

I'm not convinced Bitcoin is heading for a silver-style crash just yet, fam.

The real danger is a slow bleed disguised as repeated recoveries. That's how bulls get trapped buying every bounce.

For me, 3 levels matter: $84K to challenge the bearish setup, $72K-$76K as the next major support test, and $60K as Cowen's deeper risk scenario.

If buyers can't reclaim $84K, I'd be careful celebrating the next green candle.

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🧨 GOOGLE STOCK TOKENS CRASH 12% AFTER HOURS. IS DEFI CHALLENGING WALL STREET?

Wall Street closed for the day, but the selling didn't stop, bros.

On October 28, Google parent Alphabet's tokenized stock ($GOOGL ( ▲ 1.34% )) dropped nearly 12% on Uniswap, falling from $325.54 to $286.96 in about 90 minutes.

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Alphabet's actual shares also sank to $287.33 in after-hours trading. The interesting part? Nearly $1M in trading volume hit two DeFi pools within just five minutes.

1/ Nearly $1M traded onchain in 5 minutes

The selloff spread across two blockchain ecosystems:

  • Uniswap (Robinhood Chain): Its GOOGL/USDG pool recorded $603K in volume in the five minutes after the market closed.

  • Raydium (Solana): Its GOOGLx/USDC pool handled another $374K, with the token eventually falling from around $325 to $288.

Both tokenized products tracked Alphabet's sharp decline as traders rushed to react.

Uniswap founder Hayden Adams jumped in, arguing that tokenized stocks and DeFi are becoming places where real price discovery happens.

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And he has a point about growing onchain activity. But there's an important catch.

2/ Is DeFi really beating Wall Street?

Traditional stocks stop regular trading at 4 p.m. ET, while tokenized versions can trade around the clock.

That sounds like a massive advantage, right?

Well, Nasdaq's after-hours market was still open, with roughly 25.2M Alphabet shares traded that evening.

So, while DeFi offered another place to trade, there's no clear evidence that onchain markets discovered Google's new price before Wall Street did.

Also, Robinhood's stock tokens provide price exposure to shares, not direct ownership of the underlying stock.

🧠 My take

During a sharp dump, thin pools and slippage can make your losses worse, even when the token tracks the real stock closely.

For me, the next big test is whether DeFi can handle much larger trading volumes without prices drifting away from traditional markets.

If that happens consistently, Wall Street might have some serious competition.

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🔥 BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD

The Fed held rates at 3.75%-4%, as Chair Kevin Warsh warned inflation has stayed above 2% for nearly SIX years. Read more

Google plans to launch a crypto custody security system in 2027, months after warning about quantum threats to Bitcoin. Nice timing. Read more

Wall Street fights back! 33 companies, including JPMorgan and Coca-Cola, oppose OKX-ICE's tokenized stock plans. Read more

Bitwise just raised its $BTC price target to $1.6M by 2036, projecting 34.3% annual returns as institutional adoption grows. Read more

🤡 SPICY MEME

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CT right now:

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.

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