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Markets got the Fed pause they expected, but the tone was more hawkish than traders wanted. Yet the 9-3 vote showed some officials still backed a 25 bps hike. Chair Kevin Warsh said the Fed will follow data, not promise future cuts. $BTC ( ▲ 0.11% ) dipped to $62,850 before bouncing back above $64,400, up over 1% in 24 hours.

Meanwhile, renewed US-Iran tensions added another layer of uncertainty as the US launched strikes against Iran after a recent missile attack.

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The Fed just delivered exactly what the market expected, but the bigger question remains: what happens next?

After its two-day policy meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.5% - 3.75%, marking the fifth straight meeting without a rate move.

→ No surprise hike, no aggressive hawkish shift, but also no signal that rate cuts are coming soon.

1/ Fed stays patient as inflation remains sticky

The Fed said the US economy continues to grow at a solid pace, with strong productivity and investment helping support activity.

However, inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target. Energy costs and supply-side pressures remain a concern, especially with geopolitical tensions adding uncertainty.

Three Fed officials actually pushed for a 0.25% rate hike, showing that the committee is far from fully comfortable with inflation.

2/ Bitcoin recovers after a volatile reaction

The reaction was mixed because traders were already positioned heavily around the Fed decision. More than $379 million in crypto leveraged positions were liquidated, forcing many overextended traders out of the market.

The bigger issue is that institutional demand through spot Bitcoin ETFs has not yet returned strongly enough to create a major upside push.

Some altcoins even showed strong rotation:

3/ Macro markets react differently

Gold was the clear winner after the Fed announcement, jumping more than $40 within minutes as investors looked for protection against uncertainty.

US stocks struggled, with the S&P 500 falling around 1.5% and the Nasdaq dropping about 1.7%.

Meanwhile, oil prices remained highly sensitive to Middle East tensions, climbing around 7% toward $84 - $90 per barrel after renewed conflict between the US and Iran.

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Russia has charged Telegram founder Pavel Durov with allegedly supporting terrorist activities and issued an international arrest warrant against him, creating fresh concerns around privacy, censorship, and the future of decentralized communication.

The case puts one of crypto’s most influential figures back under pressure. Durov has long positioned Telegram as a platform focused on user privacy and free expression, while regulators around the world argue that encrypted platforms must do more to prevent illegal activity.

1/ Why Russia is targeting Durov

According to Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB), the case is related to accusations that Telegram failed to remove channels, groups, and bots allegedly used to coordinate extremist activities.

Russian authorities claim these accounts were used for everything from recruitment to cybercrime and attacks.

Telegram and Durov have not publicly responded to the latest allegations.

This isn’t the first time Durov has faced pressure from governments. Earlier this year, he accused Russian authorities of using investigations as a way to pressure Telegram and limit access to the platform.

2/ The bigger fight: privacy vs. regulation

Governments increasingly want more control over online platforms, especially when they are used for financial activity, political communication, or anonymous transactions.

Telegram has become a major hub for crypto communities, trading groups, and Web3 projects. Many crypto users rely on the platform to coordinate communities, share research, and follow market updates.

That is why this case matters beyond Telegram.

The question is whether privacy-focused platforms can continue operating globally while governments demand stronger control over user activity.

3/ Telegram’s role in the crypto world

Telegram was founded in 2013 and has grown into one of the world’s largest messaging platforms, with more than 1 billion users.

Its connection with crypto runs deep. The ecosystem around Telegram helped popularize crypto communities, airdrops, trading groups, and the TON blockchain.

The market reaction was relatively limited, but $GRAM ( ▲ 1.22% ) (prev. TON) dropped around 3% in 24 hours, falling from roughly $1.45 to $1.41 after the news.

Crypto security just hit a new low. Blockaid reports H1 2026 hacks already surpassed all of 2025, making it the worst first half in crypto history. Read more

Robinhood posted its best quarter ever with $1.31B revenue, as prediction markets outpaced crypto while Robinhood Chain keeps gaining traction. Read more

Europe’s banking giants are going on-chain. Ten major banks launched RL1, a new blockchain network for institutional finance. Read more

Binance.US is entering prediction markets. The exchange plans to apply for a CFTC license in August to launch its own platform. Read more

SEC Chair Paul Atkins warns the agency may build its own crypto rules if Congress fails to pass the CLARITY Act. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.