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- š§ $PENGUIN Mooned on a Joke
š§ $PENGUIN Mooned on a Joke
$GOV Deadlock ICEstuck $POLY

$BTC ( ā² 1.27% ) briefly fell to $86K early this morning, now trading around $87.8K. In just the last 12 hours, over $650M in long positions got liquidated.
U.S. gov shutdown risk is rising sharply, with forecasts expecting it could happen before Jan 31. It's a tough week for all of us. Move fast, grow up, or get āNetscapedā š

Hereās what we got for you today:
š 4 steps to profitable long-term trading
ā U.S. government shutdown risk surges
ā $PENGUIN +1500% jump in hours
š„ Burning hot takes for the road

Most people who start crypto trading believe theyāll get rich fast. But the majority lose money. The market is emotional, unpredictable, and full of traps built for inexperienced traders.
Youāve probably seen charts on social media showing quick profits, but what you donāt see are the thousands of small losses behind them.
81% of retail traders lost money in BTC during the last bull run. If you want to make money and keep it, you need to know how the game is actually played š

šø U.S. GOV FREEZE: BTC DROPS & GOLD EXPLODES
Looks like we might be heading for another U.S. government shutdown again.
Polymarket odds are now pricing in a 78% chance that the U.S. government shuts down before Jan 31. Hereās what weāre seeing on Polymarket:

Odds of US Government Shutdown by January 31. Source: Polymarket
77% chance the government runs out of funds that day
Bets suggest the shutdown could last up to 2 months
Thatās up from just 10% three days ago. Why? Budget deadlock over DHS and ICE funding has completely frozen Washington.
1/ Fear Rising Across the Crypto Market
You can actually feel the fear hitting crypto. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index just flipped to āExtreme Fearā.

BTC is struggling, with sharp swings tied to liquidity risks and macro uncertainty. Reminder: During the last shutdown (end of 2025), BTC dropped ~20% over 43 days.
To make it worse, $1.3B just flowed out of BTC ETFs last week, itās the biggest hit since Feb 2025.
2/ Safe-Haven Metals Surging
Meanwhile, gold and silver are absolutely flying:
Gold just broke $5,000/oz for the first time ever, now trading at ~$5,041
Silver smashed through $100/oz, now trading near $103.07
People are flocking to safety, and metals are soaking up that demand
And if you remember the last shutdown, gold jumped from ~$3,858 to $4,100+, and silver hit $54. So this pattern isnāt new.
3/ Why This Shutdown Feels Different
This isnāt just about passing a budget, itās about flying blind.
Economic indicators like CPI and jobs reports are being delayed
That means the Fed canāt plan, traders canāt model risk, and liquidity dries up
If the shutdown extends, experts predict:
Slower GDP growth (down 0.2% per week)
Potential U.S. credit rating downgrade
Major liquidity freeze in markets
Chuck Schumer, Senate Majority Leader, publicly basically said āno dealā unless the ICE/DHS section is reformed.
4/ What This Means for Us
A lot of people still arenāt paying attention but they should be. If the shutdown hits:
No economic data = wild swings in every market
Treasury auctions might get delayed
Cash flow slows down, fast
Gold and silver are doing what they always do, becoming the flight-to-safety zone. But cryptoās in a trickier spot. Itās still reactive, still sensitive to every macro headline.
Weāre not guaranteed a shutdown. Congress could still pass another short-term deal. But with under a week left, weād prep for real volatility.

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š§ TRUMP & $PENGUIN Sparked a $170M Moment
Early 2026 is already proving how chaotic things can get when Trump has power again, and somehow a penguin just caused a memecoin to go 1500%.
On Jan 24, the Solana memecoin Nietzschean Penguin ($PENGUIN ( ā² 33.81% ) ) suddenly shot up from $0.01 to $0.16, thatās a +1500% jump in hours.
Because the White House posted a photo of Trump walking hand-in-hand with a penguin. Thatās it, no caption.

Crypto traders immediately tied it to $PENGUIN, even though there was zero official connection, and began piling in. More information:
Before the Trump photo, market cap was just $300K
After the post, it peaked at $170M, now sitting around $112M
Trading volume hit $244M in 24h, one of Solanaās biggest spikes this month
A trader who spent just 6 SOL (~$867) turned it into $1.4M

Even Pump(.)funās founder said that on-chain trading was never dead. It was just sleeping, waiting for the next narrative.
Then, Penguin Party Ends Fast
Like every good meme pump, it didnāt last. As the rest of the market dipped overnight, $PENGUIN dropped ~50% from the peak.

$PENGUIN Price
The same White House post that pumped the trend mightāve also marked its top. While PENGUIN had its moment, most meme coins are still in pain:
$DOGE ( ā² 2.59% ) : -10%
$SHIB ( ā² 1.05% ) : -7.5%
$PEPE ( ā² 1.24% ) : -14.5%
11.6M+ tokens failed in 2025, most tied to scams or hype collapses
Yet meme interest is rising again, with tokens like PEPE, MOG, and POPCAT showing renewed retail traction. The volatility is back, for better or worse.
If Trump stays in power, this kind of chaos is just beginning.
One day itās āwalk with penguin,ā next day heās threatening a 100% tax on Canada, or claiming Greenland is up for grabs.

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š„ BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD
Farcaster is returning all $180M to VCs over the last 5 years. But itās not shutting down, Neynar is taking over protocol ownership. Read more
BTC holders recorded net losses for the first time since Oct 2023, says CryptoQuant. Are we entering the next downtrend cycle? Read more
The FOMC will announce its interest rate decision on JanāÆ29. Hereās what investors want even more than a Fed interest-rate cut this week. Read more
Trump warned of a 100% tariff on Canada if it signs trade deals with China. Canada would be "destroyed" if it lets China bypass U.S. tariffs. Read more
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Hold til the endā¦

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