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DCA Now or Never?

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Bitcoin just posted its seventh consecutive quarterly dominance rally. As BTC approaches a critical 71% dominance level, some say we’re gearing up for one final ATH… others warn it’s the beginning of the end for alts this cycle…

Here’s what we got for you today:

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⭐ 5 Things You Shouldn’t Miss

🔥 After 12 intense days of conflict, Trump announced that Iran & Israel have agreed to a ceasefire. Casualties: Iran: 430 dead, 3,500+ injured and Israel: 25 dead, 2,500+ injured. Congratulations world, it’s time for peace. Oil prices dropped 10%. $BTC.X ( ▼ 0.47% ) +4.5% to $106,000. Altcoins saw +10–20%, though still under pre-war highs.

🚨 Senator Adam Schiff just dropped the COIN Act to block Trump (and future Presidents) from touching crypto during office. All crypto transactions > $1,000 must be disclosed publicly via mandatory reporting. It’s about conflict of interest + financial transparency, especially as digital assets become more mainstream.

🐳 Strategy’s ($MSTR.X ( ▼ 7.66% ) ) still buying BTC. It just marked its 11th straight week of stacking Bitcoin. This time, they added 245 BTC, spending about $26 million at an average price of $105,856. And fun fact... this week’s buy is already showing a $1.1M unrealized loss. Even whales feel the dip sometimes.

🗂 Mastercard is teaming up with Chainlink to let 3+ billion cardholders buy crypto directly on-chain. Now: You swipe → you buy crypto on-chain. Behind the scenes, it’s a Web3 Avengers collab, and also a bridge between Web2 & Web3. $LINK.X ( ▲ 0.35% )  token price is up slightly today on the news.

😅 Crypto Twitter went wild today after multiple sources claimed Donald Trump had officially pardoned CZ, potentially allowing him to return to Binance ($BNB.X ( ▲ 1.14% ) ). But hold up, team CZ has now issued a clarification, calling the pardon news fake. So yeah... we got a little too excited. No official pardon. No comeback (yet).

🟢 FED Chairman Finally Signals ‘Green Light’ for Crypto

On the evening of June 25, 2025, FED Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the U.S. Congress about the Fed’s policies and the state of the economy.

If you want to watch it 👇

In his speech, Powell made some remarks that many in the crypto world are seeing as a green light for the industry.

While not giving specifics, the tone suggested that the FED is starting to view cryptocurrency in a more favorable light, something that could have a major impact on the market.

1️⃣ U.S. banks are free to engage in crypto activities

In his words: “Banks are free to choose their customers and to engage in crypto activities if done properly.”

That’s huge. Why?

Just this week, the Fed issued new guidelines that remove the controversial "reputational risk" factor from bank examinations. Previously, this was often used as a reason to restrict partnerships with crypto firms, basically, guilt by association.

Now? That barrier is gone.

U.S. banks now have clearer freedom to work with crypto companies, no more hiding behind vague “reputation” concerns. This could open the door to more mainstream adoption and cooperation between TradFi and crypto.

2️⃣ Powell also showed support for stablecoin regulation

He welcomed a clear legal framework, a big step forward for crypto legitimacy in the U.S.

Just last week, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act, a bipartisan bill that would regulate the issuance and trading of stablecoins.

What’s next? If the House approves it, it could land on President Donald Trump’s desk this summer and be signed into law by mid-2025.

The U.S. is getting serious about stablecoins, with both political parties backing clearer, more solid rules.

3️⃣ He also addressed the controversial issue of “debanking”

→ where banks deny services to crypto-related companies or individuals.

Republican lawmakers have been investigating this, claiming that under the Biden administration, many crypto firms were unfairly cut off from the financial system.

Powell didn’t deny the concern, and his recent remarks seem to push back against that approach.

→ The Fed is signaling that banks shouldn’t discriminate just because a customer is in crypto, as long as safety rules are followed.

Outside of crypto, Powell’s main focus was still the U.S. economy. Here are the key takeaways from his testimony:

  • The U.S. economy is stable, with no signs of recession

  • Inflation may come in lower than expected

  • The Fed is ready to cut rates if the labor market weakens.

  • But they’re holding off for now, internal and external forecasts suggest inflation might rise again this year, partly due to new tariff policies

  • Most policymakers agree rate cuts could come by the end of 2025

  • Unlike the zero-rate era, the Fed now has more room to maneuver

Crypto saw a slight uptick after the testimony:

While not a breakout, the move shows renewed optimism as Powell’s openness and the growing legal clarity give the space a boost in credibility.

💎 Is the Cycle Ending or One More ATH Moonshot Ahead?

On May 12th, $BTC.X ( ▼ 0.47% ) hit the supply retest zone around $104k – and just as expected, it broke out and hit a new ATH.

But now, the bigger question is: Is this the end of the cycle, or do we still have one more ATH coming?

Historically, there's still room for one more ATH before a major correction kicks in. But this time… could it be different? A million-dollar question. We’ll also answer:

  • Will BTC.D keep climbing and suppressing alts?

  • Or will it drop and finally kick off the long-awaited ALTSEASON?

  • Are altcoins just moving sideways or quietly loading up for a breakout?

  • When should we be buying? During BTC's dominance peak?

  • Where should we take profits? Based on wave targets or hard resistance zones?

1️⃣ Will BTC Hit One More ATH? Or Was That the Top?

On June 22, a sharp liquidation wiped out over $1B in 24h, a clear sweep.

But here’s the thing: the daily candle didn’t close below key structure. So we need to watch closely to see if it forms a bottom and confirms strength on lower timeframes.

If it does… we may still have another leg up. And luckily, today, June 25, we see $BTC.X ( ▼ 0.47% ) price up to $106K.

Here’s why we’re leaning toward this scenario:

  • The cycle has been playing out like clockwork for 10+ years.

  • If the uptrend ends 6 months earlier than expected, it could damage long-term market confidence.

  • That includes institutional money: if the “cycle theory” breaks, inflows into things like Spot ETFs could slow down. And that affects all of us.

We can expect BTC’s ATH comes in August, just as we’ve been saying for months.

2️⃣ Altcoin Season, a Dream or Still on the Table? Will BTC.D Live or Split Further?

🔸 ALTCOINS

Let’s rewind to the 2021 cycle:

Back then, we tracked something called the Altseason Index (ASI), it measures when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin.

  • ASI dropped below 16 (very bearish for alts)…

  • …then BOOM: it rocketed above 75, which is the classic "altseason sell zone."

Right now? We’ve never even touched that 75 level in this cycle. That means: altseason hasn’t happened yet (not a real one).

It's now the furthest we have been from Altcoin season in almost a year. That's if you believe the "Altcoin season index" 👇

→ So if you’re patient, there could still be upside if ASI climbs again.

Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe just pointed out an interesting trend. Over the past few years, the Altcoin Season Index tends to hit its bottom around June or July.

Well, it suggests that there’s a seasonal shift happening: people typically move their funds into Bitcoin at the start of summer, then, as we get closer to July or August, they start shifting back to altcoins.

Analyst also agrees with this and predicts that Bitcoin dominance could still climb to 71% before any major corrections.

Some traders are gradually accumulating alts now, targeting that 75+ level. (Not financial advice, just what’s happening.) Next, let’s look at BTC.D 👇

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This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.


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