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Heads up: the Fed will announce their next interest rate decision today, be careful guys, this is not a good time to open fresh longs or shorts!

Last rate cut was Oct 29, and $BTC dropped from $112K → $106.5K. So it didn’t go the way most people expected... I’ll share the update as soon as the decision is out 😛

Here’s what we got for you today:

• 👀 Deep insights on the FED rate cut incoming

• ⭐ BTC breaks past $94K. Here's what happened

• ⭐ How will crypto react if Fed holds or cuts rates?

• 🔥 Burning hot takes for the road

This week’s macro setup is one of the most important since the gov shutdown ended. We now have clear roadmaps coming in 2026 that could unlock institutional crypto flows.

This breakdown will include what you should expect from FED rate cut incoming, Solana’s Firedancer update and which altcoins are quietly coiling 👇

🚨 BTC PAST $94K. WHAT JUST HAPPENED?

After spending the past week stuck between $88,000–$92,000, $BTC ( ▼ 2.45% ) suddenly surged above $94K yesterday (Dec 9)

But it happened within just minutes, catching many traders off guard. What’s wild is that it came right after BTC reclaimed $92K, even after eating a brutal $2B liquidation wave.

It’s pretty clear now: the market is moving back toward the blue-chip giants: BTC and ETH. Both are holding strong dominance levels, which tells us investors are playing it safer in this weird macro environment.

So what caused the pump? A bunch of things lined up perfectly:

• Whales were stacking, a few massive wallets bought thousands of BTC right before the breakout

• The order book was thin, so once price pushed past resistance, there was nothing stopping it

→ That triggered a short squeeze, sellers had to buy back at higher prices, pushing BTC even harder. In just 12 hours alone:

• $300M+ liquidated across crypto

• Of that, $46M from BTC and $49M from ETH

Most of those were short positions, so this was a textbook squeeze, not a slow trend. And it wasn’t just whales or traders, the macro setup helped too.

The US OCC (aka bank regulators) just greenlit a policy saying banks can now handle crypto transactions without needing to custody the assets

This could make it easier for institutions to access crypto markets and the timing, just hours before the breakout, might not be a coincidence.

And with the Fed’s rate decision coming up soon, people are betting they’ll cut rates, which would make markets feel a whole lot more liquid.

Right now BTC’s still hovering near its high. Funding rates are shifting, and traders are watching closely to see if this momentum can hold through the Fed meeting or if some folks are gonna lock in profits.

So, what do our team think?

Big wallets don’t spend millions minutes before a spike unless they know something. It’s never just “random.”

It tells us the big players are rotating back into quality, and they’re doing it ahead of retail.

If you're watching the market, don't chase blindly. But also, don’t ignore the signals behind the price. Real institutions are preparing for something bigger.

First BTC and ETH… and then who knows?

Let’s see how BTC and ETH behave leading into the Fed meeting. Keep reading, we’ll talk about this in detail below.

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📉 HOW MARKET WILL REACT IF FED HOLDS OR CUT RATES

All eyes are on the FOMC meeting, the final interest rate decision of 2025 is coming on Dec 10 at 2:00 PM ET.

This one matters not just because of the rate itself, but because Powell’s press conference could shake up markets even more than the decision.

Right now, the market’s betting big on a 25bps rate cut:

• 87.6% chance of a 0.25% cut (from CME FedWatch)

• Only 12.4% believe the Fed will hold at 3.75%-4.00%

So what happens in each case?

1/ If the Fed cuts rates 0.25%:

• It would be the third cut this year (after Sept and Oct)

• In September, crypto reacted well, BTC and ETH both bounced

• October, like I said at first, not so much. Broader market was dragging things down

• A December cut is seen as a positive signal for risk assets like crypto → more liquidity, more capital flowing in

But… there’s a catch. Everyone already expects this. So don’t be surprised if the market shrugs. The real market mover could be Jerome Powell’s press conference right after.

• If he sounds chill (inflation cooling, labor market softening), it’s a green light for more cuts = good for us

• If he’s in tough-guy mode again (like last FOMC), let’s expect some sell pressure on BTC and alts

Bank of America even thinks Powell may hint at “reserve buying” to help smaller banks.

And in a rare possibility, if the Fed cuts by 0.5%, that would be a huge bullish shock, weakening the USD and likely causing a strong crypto rally.

2/ If the Fed holds rates:

• Less likely, but still possible, especially since the US gov’t shutdown delayed key labor data

• Powell himself said in October: “When you drive in fog, you slow down”

• The Fed is split internally and Powell hinted that December cuts weren’t guaranteed

So yeah, if they hold rates:

• It could cool off the market short term

• It might delay that next leg up in BTC/ETH

• But it's not the end of the world...

👉 Because here’s the part most people aren’t watching: Starting Jan 2026, the Fed plans to buy $45B in Treasuries/month. That’s basically quantitative easing (QE) in disguise. they’re not calling it that, but it is.

Here’s my honest take:

I think most traders are too focused on the rate cut itself, but the real story is liquidity or narrative shift. If Powell hints at continued support, easing, or “reserve buying,” markets will react fast.

If he’s soft and signals more support → we go up.
If he’s strict and vague → chop city.

We’d better watch to see if big players re-enter after the announcement. If they do, we follow. If not, maybe wait it out.

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🔥 BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD

$TRUMP project dropped a surprise mobile game & a $1M reward pool. But to join, you must hold $TRUMP ( ▼ 5.15% ) (even when the price down 13X?) Read more

Jim Cramer flipped: “I’m bullish on both BTC and ETH.” Money will eventually rotate back into blue-chip crypto. Read more

About 312 BTC wallets linked to Silk Road, the infamous dark‑net marketplace, just woke up after 10+ years & transferred $3.14M BTC (left $41.3M.) Read more

BitMine is ALL-IN on $ETH ( ▼ 3.27% ) , exceeding 3.86M tokens. They’re now one of the largest ETH holders & still buying more. Read more

Stripe + Paradigm’s $5B payments chain, Tempo, opened public testnet. Mastercard, Visa, UBS, OpenAI, Shopify are already testing. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.