- The Crypto Fire
- Posts
- š Uptober or Oct-over Has Started!?
š Uptober or Oct-over Has Started!?
3 Altcoins Facing Major Risk in Early Oct

In the past 12 years, October printed green candles for BTC 10 times. In 2021, it pumped +40% in 31 days. In 2017? +48%. And now, weāre heading into October 2025! Is this the calm before a $150K breakout...?

Hereās what we got for you today:
š How high can $ASTER go in 2025?
ā 3 altcoins facing risk in early October
ā Uptober finally comes!!!
š„ Burning hot takes for the road

Aster is suddenly everywhere. Price surging. Whales moving. Hype exploding. But evidence is mounting that CZ could be quietly backing it⦠as part of a plan to block Hyperliquidās rise before itās too late.
Why would Binance step in now? Whatās Aster really building? And more importantly, how high can it go in 2025 if this theory holds? š

šØ 3 ALTCOINS AT HIGH RISK OF LIQUIDATION IN EARLY OCTOBER
Hey fam, get ready, things might get bumpy. Weāve seen over $1B in liquidations in the past two months alone, and the transition from September to October might trigger another wave.
Here are 3 altcoins currently sitting on a knifeās edge:
1/ Solana (SOL)
$SOL.X ( ā² 7.43% ) is trading dangerously close to $200, a key psychological level. SOLās 7-day liquidation map shows a perfect balance between long and short positions.
If SOL pumps to $230, $1.18B in short positions will get liquidated
If it drops to $186, $1.16B in long positions could be wiped out
Short-term SOL holders are near breakeven, but pressure is mounting. If SOL falls below $200, panic could set in.
In a worst-case whipsaw, both long and short traders could get wrecked if SOL dips below $200 then rebounds quickly.
2/ Plasma (XPL)
$XPL.X ( ā² 1.39% ) exploded 130% to $1.80 in September after being listed in Binanceās HODLer Airdrop program, attracting $1.4B in open interest.
Since then, XPL has dropped over 20% to $1.30, making it the #4 most liquidated altcoin in late September, right behind BTC, ETH, and SOL.
The 7-day liquidation map shows a heavy imbalance ā shorts dominate
If XPL drops to $1.12, up to $64.4M in long liquidations could hit
If it rebounds to $1.69, up to $118M in short liquidations could get triggered
Dune data shows XPLās layer-1 network is still booming with:
400,000+ daily transactions
10,000+ daily active users
Stablecoin USDā®0 on Plasma hit $5B market cap
Some traders remain confident though!
3/ Aster (ASTER)
$ASTER.X ( ā² 5.58% ) is one of the most profitable tokens by protocol revenue despite a modest $3B market cap. Itās gained traction as a top Perp DEX, but that success comes with risk.
After a 20% correction, sentiment remains strong.
The 7-day liquidation map shows:
If ASTER rises to $2.22, over $70M in short positions could get liquidated.
If it falls to $1.59, $65M in long positions are at risk.
Whales are clearly accumulating, and the hype isnāt just from retail. MrBeast publicly announced he bought ASTER.
So yeah, if this keeps climbing, a lot of shorts could be in real trouble. What weāre seeing is a market full of tension.
If youāre trading these coins, nowās the time to zoom out and be surgical with leverage. Donāt let FOMO or fear bait you into bad positions!

On November 6 from 12 - 4 PM ET, join Section for a half-day of micro-workshops designed to turn you from an AI prompter to a workflow redesigner. In just one afternoon, youāll learn how to build LLM automations, design agentic workflows, and try your hand at vibe coding.
Hear directly from AI experts and walk away with practical frameworks you can apply immediately, as well as a certificate of completion to showcase your new skills.


š UPTOBER IS HERE. HMM, ITāS DIFFERENTā¦?
Cryptoās favorite meme month has officially arrived. Weāve only just climbed back to where $BTC.X ( ā² 4.21% ) was several days ago.
In the last 12 years, Bitcoin has closed green in October 10 times. 2017: +47.81%. 2021: +39.93%. 2023: +28.52%!
Even the āmehā Octobers still brought solid +5-10% gains. Only two red ones: 2014 and 2018. So historically? October delivers.
And this year, the marketās already whispering: āWhat if 2025 is the big one?ā. Hereās whatās lining up:
BTC closed September at +1.09% (a calm finish, no blow-off, no dump)
$ETH.X ( ā² 6.73% ) dropped 5.71%, so BTC dominance strengthened
ETF deadline season is heating up, SEC decisions on major altcoin spot ETFs are expected this month
Fed already cut rates, and markets are watching for a second move later this October
Treasury liquidity stress is also fading, and Arthur Hayes thinks that could flip crypto back into āup onlyā mode. On top of that, weāre seeing October positioning already start to show:
Traders are rotating back in
Funding is turning slightly positive
But that history isnāt a guarantee. If BTC breaks out and holds key levels with volume, Uptober becomes real. If support crumbles, well⦠āUptoberā turns into āOct-overā real fast!
Uptober 2025 is entering with the most neutral base weāve had in a while. We even joked āwake me up when September endsā š

WE GOT A NEW OUTFIT, YET SAME FIRE š„
You may have noticed... weāre looking a little hotter today.
No, we didnāt get VC funding. No, we didnāt sell out.
And yeah, we just changed the outfit. Hereās our old visual.
The Crypto Fire got a fresh new layout: cleaner headlines, faster skims, spicier memes, and one less reason to miss an airdrop.
Same no-nonsense vibes. Same signal-first content.
Let us know what you think or donāt. Weāll still be here tomorrow, firing off charts, degen plays, and quietly judging holders š

š„ BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD
CZ has confirmed that BNB Chainās official X account is hacked. Do NOT click on any links from that account. Read more
$APEX.X ( ⼠0.98% ) token just pulled off a massive 600% pump in under a week. But then⦠the red candles came. Read more
The āGodfather of DeFiā is back with the new project "Flying Tulip". Public sale will take place directly on its platform. Read more
Phantom officially launched its new USD-pegged stablecoin $CASH & a full finance platform: Phantom Cash. Read more
For the first time ever, SEC issued a No-Action Letter to DoubleZero project, confirming its token 2Z will not be treated as securities. Read more
Rate us today!Your feedback helps us improve and deliver better content! |
𤔠SPICY MEME


š SHOUTOUT FROM OUR FIRESTARTER

We read your emails, comments, and poll replies daily
Hit reply and say Hello, we'd love to hear from you!
And if youāve got a friend deep in crypto (or just getting started), feel free to forward this to them. They can sign up here. Cheers!
ā This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.
Reply