BTC, ETH, SOL: Will the Weekend Break the Uptrend?

Hello there. Investing in crypto these days feels a bit like buying an economy ticket and getting unexpectedly bumped up to First Class. It is full of nice surprises, but you hit some serious turbulence along the way. This week, the market is stuck in a tiring mind game called "Tariffs." Every time a headline drops, fear spikes and presses prices down, leaving a lot of investors feeling a bit short of breath.

But in shaky moments like this, a smart investor knows how to balance the fear with actual data. Instead of letting panic drive the car, let's sit down and look under the hood to see what is really happening beneath those ugly red candles.

Two hidden forces are quietly loading up

Right now, two massive forces are gathering strength underneath the tariff pressure, ready to push prices back up when the time is right. The first force is the shift of traditional finance onto the blockchain, also known as the "tokenization of everything." We are seeing Real World Assets (RWA)-if we exclude stablecoins-hitting all-time highs.

This growth in RWA isn't just gambling on future adoption. It is the process of swapping speculation for real, proven usage. The more real-world applications we integrate, the stronger the price floor becomes.

The second force is macro liquidity. Global liquidity-basically the amount of cash floating around the world economy-climbed to a massive $186.24 trillion in just the first week of January. Think of this like a stretched rubber band waiting to snap prices back up as soon as the tariff noise dies down. The problem is, most people are too busy staring at the scary price charts to notice the spring being compressed right under their feet.

Three key price scenarios to watch

We have seen this movie before. A big tariff threat drops, the market freaks out, then the threat gets walked back or softened, and the market rallies. This exact sequence knocked Ethereum out of its uptrend earlier, breaking the pattern before it bounced back stronger. Right now, the levels we need to watch are crystal clear.

For Bitcoin $BTC ( ▼ 1.39% ) , it is trading around $89,900. It needs to close the week near $91,000 or higher to keep the long-term vibes intact. Even though Bitcoin slipped out of this trend last month and recovered, holding this line is the safest signal.

Next is Ethereum $ETH ( ▼ 4.64% ) . Sitting around $2,900, it is testing the bottom of its channel. It needs to stay above $2,750 to keep its 4-year trend alive. Ethereum is looking like the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry" right now because it is the main winner from that wave of traditional finance tokenization blowing into its sails.

Finally, Solana $SOL ( ▼ 0.19% ) just touched the bottom of its triangle pattern at around $127. Solana needs a weekly close at or above this number to keep its current structure safe.

So, what happens this weekend?

The message here isn't a fake promise that "everything will be fine," because there are no guarantees in investing. This is about balancing rising fear against real data. The recovery scenario works only if the tariff threat gets dialed back eventually and the macro factors are strong enough to act like that rubber band.

The good news? While the recent threats haven't been withdrawn yet, it is still early. Usually, the cooling-off talk starts happening on the weekend right after the initial announcement. Looking at the big picture, the outlook for the first two weeks of 2026 is excellent, and this week hasn't changed that positive vibe. Saturday's threats didn't change the fundamentals; they just wound the spring tighter.

Bottom line

Don't assume "doomsday" is the only card on the table. The factors deciding the short-term price and trend will all converge this Sunday. Our weekend wishlist is simple: the tariff threats start to chill out, and the big three BTC, ETH, SOL close above the key levels we mentioned. And hey, even if they don't hold the line, recent history shows a bounce back from a broken trend is still very possible.

Crypto Fire Meme

Key Takeaways

• Market Sentiment: Tariff fear is short-term noise; do not let it obscure the long-term picture of capital flow and real-world adoption.

• Ethereum's Position: ETH currently holds a strong advantage thanks to the RWA tokenization trend, acting as the "cleanest shirt" in the current environment.

• Action Strategy: Watch the weekly candle close closely. The current price compression could be the setup for a strong bounce if macro news aligns.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational purposes only, just for fun and knowledge. This is not investment advice. Your money, your responsibility!