🦃 $BTC ThanksPumping

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$BTC.X ( ▼ 0.57% ) just hit $91K. Gotta admit, it feels good 😆 If you’ve been holding from the lows, this is celebration time.

Meanwhile, $SOL.X ( ▼ 3.03% ) is slowly climbing toward the $140 mark, right as the community is buzzing over proposal SIMD-0411.

Some are saying like oh, this could be the catalyst to send SOL flying. Others argue like “Nah, just a short-term hype boost.”

The opinions are clearly split. What about you? Do you think SIMD-0411 will bring a real, lasting effect on Solana? Or is it just a temporary spark?

Here’s what we got for you today:

• 👀 BTC hits 90K but... it's a trap?

• ⭐ Crypto repeats its post-Thanksgiving pattern again

• ⭐ How to decide which coin to trade & avoid?

• 🔥 Burning hot takes for the road

BTC is back above $90K and the total crypto market cap has crossed $3T. These are the kind of numbers that make for great conversation at the Thanksgiving dinner table.

We want to be bullish here, we really do. But before you FOMO back in, we need to talk about what’s happening under the hood.

But we’ve been zooming into the charts this morning, and while the green candles look nice, the market structure is flashing a warning sign that we can’t ignore 👇

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⭐ CRYPTO IS DOING THAT POST-THANKSGIVING AGAIN

After a brutal November sell-off, the market is showing its first real signs of life, RSI is climbing, MACD has flipped bullish, and sentiment is starting to recover from extreme lows.

And if this setup feels familiar… it should. We’ve seen the exact same pattern play out in 2022 and 2023:

• Nasty dip before Thanksgiving

• Then sideways chill

• Then... December decides the direction

What we’re seeing right now:

• Fear & Greed Index jumped from 14 to 25 in just a week. Still fear, but a lot less panic

• Average RSI across crypto climbed from 38.5 → 58.3. That’s a solid bounce

• MACD heatmap flipped bullish for BTC, $ETH.X ( ▲ 0.16% ) , SOL, first time in weeks

• 82% of tracked coins are now showing upward momentum

And yeah, price is finally catching up: BTC is back at $91K (+6%), ETH cracked $3K (+8%), SOL’s moving too (+8%)

Market cap hit $3.21T, slow but steady.

What’s even more interesting: liquidity is still super thin and forced selling is cooling off. So now, ETF flows and macro news are steering the ship, not just vibes.

Just like:

• 2022, post-FTX mess: sideways until Christmas

• 2023, ETF hype kicked in: BTC ran from $37K → $43.6K

Right now, BTC’s 90-day Taker CVD has gone neutral. That’s a nerdy way of saying: “The aggressive sellers? They’re finally chilling.”

Tom Lee from BitMine calls this market “limping” after that October liquidation. Books are thin. Market makers are cautious. Which means small moves can turn into big moves fast.

Even on-chain stuff is interesting. People aren’t selling BTC. Over 53% of Nexo loans are still backed by BTC. That takes pressure off spot selling but adds hidden leverage, so watch for sudden swings.

So where does that leave us?

We might be stepping into the third straight year of a “post-Thanksgiving setup.” This current structure shows:

• Sellers are mostly out (CVD neutral)

• Momentum is recovering fast (RSI + MACD)

• Liquidity is still fragile (low depth, slow ETF flows)

The technicals are no longer weak. The sellers are tired. But price won't move just because of hope.

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💯 HOW TO KNOW WHICH COIN TO TRADE, WHICH TO AVOID?

A lot of people ask this question:

• “How do you know which coin is worth trading, and which one’s a trap?”

Honestly, there's no fixed formula. But if you’ve ever stared at a messy chart wondering “Should I enter this?”, here’s what I always check before jumping in 👇

1/ The Runners: Coins already outperforming

Don’t ignore the ones that are pumping hard. Many avoid these coins because they think, “It’s too late. I’ll buy the top.”

But statistically, buying strength tends to outperform catching weak bottoms. I look for coins that are clearly outperforming the market, especially small caps outside BTC and ETH.

Before entering, I also check:

• Funding rate (to see if longs are overcrowded)

• Perpetual market positioning (who’s holding what?)

If it still looks healthy, I might enter small early and DCA if it pulls back. No need to wait for the "perfect" entry.

2/ The “V-Shape Recovery” Signals

These are tokens that dump hard and bounce back fast, fully reversing that red candle.

That kind of snapback usually means someone’s actively accumulating. You’ll often see it in high-volatility coins like meme tokens.

But not every bounce is real. If the dump was too extreme compared to the rest of the market, it might just be noise. You’ve gotta read the context.

3/ The Stalwarts: Strong when everything else bleeds

These are the coins that drop less than the market during crashes. It shows strength.

But watch out, some of them resist drops, then lag on the bounce. If one of these starts pushing higher while others lag, it could be a new breakout in the making.

4/ Mindset & Micro Signals

Over time, here are a few things that matter more than just price action:

• Know where the crowd is positioned. Use funding rate, liquidation zones, open interest to gauge sentiment

• Stop hunting for a reason behind every pump. Sometimes, coins just go up because people want them to

• Markets don’t repeat, but they do rhyme. Every trend has a slightly different setup

• Momentum confirms narrative. Wait until you see real buy pressure show up on the chart, then act

What seems like random noise is often a structured play. And the best traders I know do follow demand, not just charts.

If I were you, I’d stop worrying about being early or late. I’d focus on reading behavior, identifying real demand, and acting decisively when those patterns repeat.

Because the ones who win are the ones who understand why people are buying in the first place. What’s the first thing you look at when choosing an altcoin to trade?

$57 Billion in NVDA Revenue, 62% YoY Growth. And stocks still fell… What now?

Nvidia just posted a record-breaking quarter… yet the markets dropped. Why?

Experts say that even the top AI earnings couldn’t calm the fear of a potential bubble.

After soaring at the open, the S&P reversed sharply, wiping out over $2T of value in hours.

The “Great Bitcoin Crash of 2025” only wiped out ~$1T by comparison.

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🔥 BURNING HOT TAKES FOR THE ROAD

$AVICI.X ( ▼ 6.61% ) on Solana pumped 1,700% this month purely on MoonPay partnership rumors. 100k real card txns already. Read more

Arthur dumped $MON.X ( ▼ 9.89% ) just 24 hrs after hyping it up: “$MON to $10.” Price tanked to $0.039 right then. Talk about a fast U-turn... Read the tweet

Michael Saylor claims they are safe for 80 years even if BTC crashed an 80-90%. He’s betting on 30% annual growth. Read more

Ethereum just voted to raise gas limit from 45M → 60M after 4 years. Vitalik is prepping for the massive Fusaka upgrade on Dec 3. Read more

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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.