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Bitcoin Will be +$190K in Next 90 Days
Short-term Bitcoin technical signals and long-term crypto trends may be converging faster than expected
Eugene Le
December 17, 2025
TL;DR BOX
Bitcoin has a high-probability setup to rally toward the $160K–$190K range within the next 90 days, based on historical technical analysis patterns and a shift toward more supportive macro liquidity. BTC recently reset its RSI into oversold territory, a condition that has repeatedly preceded strong upside during past bull cycles. After similar RSI resets, Bitcoin has typically consolidated for around 20 days before resuming its uptrend, and price is now sitting at that same inflection point.
At the same time, macro conditions are turning favorable. Expected Fed rate cuts lower deposit yields, encourage capital to move out of banks, and force liquidity back into the system through bond purchases. That liquidity tends to flow into higher-return assets like Bitcoin. Looking further out, crypto trending themes for 2026 point to rising institutional participation driven by clearer financial reporting and balance-sheet discipline, as highlighted by SKY, which supports longer-term cycle extension rather than an imminent market top.
Key points
Fact: RSI resets below 30 have historically preceded major BTC rallies.
Mistake: assuming a strong rally automatically signals a cycle top.
Action: watch liquidity and consolidation phases, not headlines.
Critical insight
Markets rarely top when liquidity is expanding and positioning has already been reset.
⛏️ Why Bitcoin Will Rally to +190k in Next 90 Days?
One of the macro voices many serious investors follow, Julien Bittel from GMI and Real Vision, recently shared a chart that instantly caught the market’s attention.
Not because it promised moon prices, but because it highlighted a technical analysis pattern Bitcoin $BTC ( ▼ 1.18% ) has respected repeatedly in past bull cycles.
The chart focuses on Bitcoin’s relationship with the Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator that measures price strength on a scale from 0 to 100.
RSI is one of the most widely used tools in technical analysis, especially for identifying momentum resets during trending markets.
In simple terms:
When RSI moves above 70, Bitcoin is considered overbought, which usually means most buyers are already positioned, upside momentum slows, and price often needs time to cool off.
When RSI falls below 30, Bitcoin is considered oversold, which typically signals seller exhaustion.
What makes the current setup interesting is not RSI alone, but what Bitcoin historically does after RSI drops below 30 during a broader bull market from a technical analysis perspective.
Looking at multiple past cycles, bitcoin tends to grind sideways for roughly 20 days after an oversold RSI reading. Then, once positioning resets and volatility compresses, price resumes its upward trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is sitting almost exactly at that 20-day window.
Julien averaged the price behavior following every recent oversold RSI event and overlaid that historical trajectory onto Bitcoin’s current price action. On the chart, black represents current price, while pink represents the projected path based on historical data.
If Bitcoin follows its historical technical analysis behavior, the data suggests a move toward the $160K - $190K range within the next three to four months.
Julien also added an important disclaimer that if you believe the bull market is already over and the next year will be pure downside, this analysis is irrelevant. But if you believe this crypto cycle extends into 2026, then this RSI reset may represent a transition from consolidation to expansion, not a market top.
From a macro perspective, the Federal Reserve has already signaled a 25 bps rate cut on December 10, with expectations building for additional cuts extending into 2026. This shift marks the beginning of a looser monetary stance aimed at supporting growth as financial conditions evolve.
As interest rates decline, bank deposit yields also fall, reducing the appeal of keeping money in traditional savings accounts. As a result, households and businesses are more likely to withdraw deposits and seek higher-return opportunities, putting pressure on bank funding and liquidity.
To offset this outflow, the Fed is often required to purchase bonds and inject liquidity into the banking system, enabling banks to continue lending and meet withdrawal demands from depositors.
This process encourages greater spending and pushes capital toward direct investment channels that generate faster and stronger returns, rather than low-yield or heavily intermediated markets.
From a technical analysis perspective to fundamental one, this setup is less about hype and more about probability, momentum reset, and historical precedent.
You remember our prediction that Bitcoin would return to $80K when the entire market believed BTC would hold $100K and continue moving up.
And we’ve shared high-potential tokens that are positioned for 200% growth in one month, while the broader market looks quiet and sluggish.
This series will be updated more frequently in the PRO edition moving forward.
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🏗️ The 2026’s Crypto Trending
Last week, we outlined top 3 crypto trending to watch in 2026, and one stood out: the push toward standardized financial data presented in a traditional language.
Crypto’s technology has never been the problem. The infrastructure is strong, efficient, and increasingly battle-tested. To most TradFi investors, crypto still feels like a foreign system, full of unfamiliar metrics and narrative-driven explanations.
Expecting traditional capital to adapt to crypto’s language was never realistic but that is exactly what SKY just demonstrated. Instead of relying on token narratives or speculative framing, SKY released a report that reads like a traditional financial document.
It is the kind of report that institutional investors can actually evaluate without needing a crypto-native interpreter defining long-term crypto trending narratives heading into the next cycle.
During a year when much of the crypto market was either bleeding or stuck in limbo, SKY nearly doubled its stablecoin supply, increased profits, cut operating expenses by more than half, and expanded buybacks by 250 times. In practical terms, that buyback activity alone was enough to retire roughly 6.3% of total supply.
This is not speculative behavior, this is balance-sheet discipline. “Profits up, expenses down, buybacks increasing” is language TradFi understands instantly.
From a broader crypto trending perspective, SKY is unlikely to be an outlier. More teams will follow this template, emphasizing clear financial reporting, sustainable economics, and long-term capital efficiency over short-term speculation. As this trend spreads, the market itself becomes easier for institutions to analyze and engage with.
For Bitcoin and the wider crypto market, capital will become more comfortable evaluating crypto through familiar frameworks, participation grows more stable and less reactive. That stability feeds back into price behavior, reducing violent drawdowns and extending cycle duration.
SKY did not just release a strong report, it quietly set a precedent. And if this pattern holds, it could shape how capital interacts with crypto across the most important crypto trending cycle into 2026 and beyond.
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⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.
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