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The Next Interface War: Ambient Computing Is About to Kill the Smartphone
As extended reality moves beyond headsets and screens fade away, the real battle is over who controls the invisible layer of technology surrounding you.

TL;DR BOX
The smartphone era is ending, not because it failed, but because it exhausted human attention. The next interface war is about ambient computing and extended reality replacing screens as the primary way humans interact with technology. Instead of tapping glass, computing fades into the background and responds to context, intent, and presence.
Technology is moving away from phones toward invisible, always-on systems. Google, Meta, OpenAI, and Neuralink are competing to control this new interface layer, where software matters more than devices. Smart glasses, AI agents, neural inputs, and spatial interfaces are becoming default tools, not experiments. The real shift is not hardware, but who owns the intelligence behind the interface.
Key points
Fact: Average users touch their phone 2,617 times per day.
Mistake: Betting on hardware winners instead of software layers.
Action: Focus on platforms that own AI, data, and interfaces.
Critical insight
When interfaces disappear, power concentrates in whoever controls context and intent.
Table of Contents
š§ The Next Interface War
The average user touches their phone 2,617 times a day.
If youāre in the top 10% of heavy users, that number doubles to 5,427.

My right thumb has done more cardio this year than my legs and I usually walk around like a modern zombie. Heads tilted forward at a 45-degree angle, eyes locked downward. A literal degeneration of the spine now showing up in people under 30.

Yes, this is your reminder to sit up straight while reading. And yes, I know you just adjusted your posture.
We are all slaves to the glowing rectangle, and this dependency is not an accident. Itās one of the largest businesses ever created.
By 2026, companies are projected to spend $228 billion just to show you ads while you scroll through videos of hydraulic presses crushing gummy bears. Nearly a trillion dollars, not to innovate, not to educate, but to keep your attention glued to glass.

They are betting on your addiction. But the smartphone era is reaching its limit. Not because it failed, but because it extracted almost everything it could from your eyes and your hands.
Meta $META ( ā¼ 0.41% ) shipped 4 million smart glasses in 2025. Google $GOOGL ( ā² 1.08% ) just dropped $150 million to build fashionable glasses with Warby Parker.
After 15 years of demanding your eyes, technology now claims it wants to free your hands. What theyāre really building is the first mass-market gateway into extended reality, designed to quietly onboard users into an ambient computing world without calling it that.

This is the rise of ambient computing - An era where technology stops being something you stare at and starts becoming something that surrounds you. Information floats into your environment.
No tapping, no swiping, no screens dominating your life.
š Googleās Face Computer
Google started this war once before and they lost badly.
Ten years ago, they put a camera on your face, floated a screen just above your line of sight, and told the world it was the future. However, people didnāt see this as an innovation, they saw surveillance.

āThe term āGlassholesā became part of the conversation.
Fast forward to now, and Google is back, but this time theyāve learned their lesson.
For 2026, Google partnered with Warby Parker for aesthetics and Samsung for hardware. Translation.
They are launching two types:
No screens, no distractions. Just you and Gemini AI whispering in your ear. Finally, the voices in my head are actually helpful (and real).
A lightweight pair of glasses with a tiny in-lens display. It uses Android XR to float apps in front of your eyes without anyone else seeing what you're looking at.

Googleās real weapon isnāt the glasses themselves - Itās the ecosystem.
Android XR allows developers to port thousands of existing Android apps directly into spatial interfaces. Your digital life then lifts off the screen and floats into your surroundings. This is ambient computing at the operating-system level, where extended reality becomes a default interface rather than a standalone product.
This is classic Google strategy. Win the layer beneath everything.
But while Google is focused on making computing disappear, someone else is obsessed with making it desirable.
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š¶ļø Metaās Fashion Flex
Mark Zuckerberg watched Google fail and he did take notes: āTechnology doesnāt win if people donāt want to wear it.ā

So Meta $META ( ā¼ 0.41% ) did the unthinkable by partnering with EssilorLuxottica, the parent company behind Ray-Ban, Oakley, and nearly every major eyewear brand on earth, Meta solved the hardest problem in extended reality.
Looking normal but it worked.
Meta now controls nearly 75% of the smart glasses market. Not because their hardware is perfect, but because people actually want to put it on their face.

Their strategy going into 2026 - 2027 is brutally clear:
Ray-Ban smart glasses: No screens, hidden cameras, audio feedback, subtle AI assistance. You look cool while your battery quietly dies in the background.
Project Artemis: Full holographic augmented reality. Digital objects anchored in physical space. But they cost around $10,000 to manufacture.
But the real breakthrough isnāt the glasses themselves. Itās how you control them.

Meta understands that nobody wants to stand in public waving their arms like theyāre conducting an invisible orchestra. In industry terms, this is known as the āGorilla Armā problem, and it kills adoption fast.
Instead of forcing exaggerated gestures, they built the Neural Band. This wrist-worn device reads the electrical signals firing through your arm muscles with roughly 90% accuracy.
You literally just think about moving your finger, and the glasses react. This kind of intent-based input is critical for scaling extended reality, and it pushes ambient computing beyond screens into subconscious interaction.
ā OpenAIās Pencil
Sam Altman is betting that screens are a dead end. He believes the smartphone is not the final interface, just a transitional one. The future, in his view, is screenless and ambient.

That belief turned into a $6.5 billion acquisition of a hardware startup founded by Jony Ive. Together, theyāre building what insiders call the āAnti-Phone.ā Internally, itās known as Project Gumdrop, a misleading name for a radical idea.
The device is pen-shaped, pocketable, and has no screen at all. It listens, sees, and understands context through cameras and microphones, while OpenAIās Operator agent handles tasks through voice.
If Google puts the internet on your face and Meta wraps it in fashion, OpenAI wants it to disappear into your pocket.
𧬠Elon Muskās Neuralink
If wearing glasses feels like effort and pulling a device from your pocket already feels like friction, thereās one final solution left.
Donāt wear the computer at all. Put it inside you.
According to recent leaks, Neuralink is preparing for high-volume production as early as 2026.

Neuralink is a coin-sized implant that sits flush with your skull, invisible from the outside. Ultra-thin threads connect directly to your brainās electrical signals, allowing the system to read intent before movement.
Today, itās positioned as a medical device for paralysis patients. Itās the Trojan Horse.
The long-term vision, driven by Elon Musk, is far more radical. As AI becomes orders of magnitude smarter than humans, Musk argues we face obsolescence.
His solution is symbiosis. Merge with the machine or fall behind it.
š The Playbook for All Investors
Hardware is brutally hard. But when it works, it reshapes the world. The smartphone era created the first $3 trillion company, and the device that replaces it could create the first $10 trillion one.
Right now, Meta looks like the early favorite. They have real sales, real momentum, and a Ray-Ban partnership that makes people actually want to wear computers on their faces.
But in the AI era, leadership is temporary. The scoreboard is written in pencil, not ink. Winning the first round doesnāt mean you win the war. BlackBerry and Nokia already taught us that lesson, huh?
Software now moves faster than hardware. A smarter agent from OpenAI, a better data layer from Google, or a surprise move from Apple can flip everything overnight.
Itās a bet on who builds the smartest mind behind the interface. And that prize is still wide open.
In other words, the real opportunity isnāt hardware alone, but the software platforms that dominate ambient computing and control the future of extended reality interfaces.
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