Bitcoin Rally to $94K and Even Higher...Every Traders Must Know!!!

🌎 Macro

The macro calendar isn’t easing into 2026 as key macro data hits the market in the first full week of 2026..

Here’s the macro data coming up this week:

• Tue: December ISM Manufacturing PMI

  This shows whether U.S. manufacturers are ordering more inputs. It’s a forward signal for growth.

• Wed: December ADP private payrolls
  A snapshot of how private hiring ended the year.

• Wed: November JOLTS job openings
  Are companies still looking to hire, or pulling back?

• Fri: December U.S. jobs report
  Wages, unemployment, payrolls.

• Fri: January Michigan consumer sentiment
  A quick read on how people actually feel.

The macro data point that matters most right now is today’s PMI.

PMI above 50 means expansion and Expansion usually supports risk assets, including crypto. A move back toward that red line would be a real positive signal, which improves the near-term market outlook for crypto.

Next, let’s talk about the macro event that could matter even more this week beyond the scheduled macro data releases.

 🧃 Venezuela

Late Friday, the U.S. made a dramatic move - former Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro was flown to the U.S. and placed in a Brooklyn federal detention center. The same facility that previously held Sam Bankman-Fried, Ghislaine Maxwell, and others tied to high-profile cases.

With Maduro effectively sidelined, the U.S. has stepped in to assert temporary control over Venezuela’s state institutions and assets abroad. This matters because Venezuela sits on the largest proven oil reserves on the planet, even larger than Saudi Arabia’s, and has been largely cut off from global markets due to years of sanctions.

Energy access at this scale can shift inflation expectations and the broader market outlook

Any shift in control or sanctions policy has ripple effects across energy markets, the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and global liquidity.

So yeah, this isn’t just geopolitics, it has direct implications for crypto.

✂️ Rate cuts

Recent macro data has made rate cuts a real conversation again with 8 FOMC meetings in 2026 that means 8 chances for rate cuts.

And rate cuts matter for crypto - They’re a major driver of the crypto market outlook.

Lower rates → cheaper borrowing → more spending and hiring → more liquidity → risk assets benefit. Crypto included.

Why does the Fed need to cut? It’s pretty simple:

Weakening jobs + cooling inflation = higher odds of cuts.

As you know gas prices feed directly into inflation data. And energy has been one of the stickier inputs keeping inflation elevated.

With the U.S. now having access to the world’s largest proven oil reserves - Venezuela, markets are asking a logical question:

Does some of that supply end up back in the global or U.S. market?

If it does, even partially, more supply → lower oil prices → softer gas prices → less inflation pressure.

Add that to a U.S. labor market that’s already been losing momentum for months, and suddenly the Fed’s rate-cut checklist starts filling itself in.

📊 Charts

Okay, there’s a lot of economic pressure building here, but markets don’t wait for events to fully play out. They’re forward looking by nature and tend to move well before the macro data confirms anything.

So what are the charts telling us right now?

Short answer:

Here’s the longer explanation:

For an uptrend to remain intact, price needs to keep forming higher highs and higher lows. That structure is the foundation of any sustained move higher and matters more than short-term news.

The encouraging part is how $BTC ( ▼ 3.23% ) reacted to the Venezuela developments. Over the weekend, Bitcoin price moved from roughly $88k to $94k and, in doing so, appears to have formed a higher low. You can see this clearly in the structure on the chart.

This tells us that even though BTC has been moving sideways for the past few months, it’s still holding its broader multi-year uptrend, which keeps the medium-term market outlook constructive. The market hasn’t broken down yet.

⚠ This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.

If you’re interested in other topics and want to stay ahead of how Crypto is reshaping the markets, from whale strategies to the next major altcoin narrative, you can explore more of our deep-dive articles here:

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